Investment thesisEquityEmerging Markets
MercadoLibre logo

MELI

MercadoLibre

The portfolio's emerging-markets exposure, held as a long-term compounder.

Portfolio weight

5.70%

As of August 20, 2026

Structural growth in Latin America

MercadoLibre is the portfolio's only meaningful exposure outside the United States, and its economics are driven by household formation, credit access and payment adoption in Latin America rather than by enterprise technology budgets. That makes it one of the few holdings whose results do not depend on the AI capital-spending cycle. I considered the valuation reasonable relative to the growth and the quality of the franchise when I built the position.

The business is two reinforcing engines: a commerce marketplace and a payments and credit operation built on top of it. Payments started as a way to make the marketplace work and became a large business in its own right.

Where the risk sits

The credit book is the part that deserves the most attention. Lending into Latin American consumer and small-business segments produces attractive yields precisely because the credit risk is real, and provisioning moves with local conditions. Currency is the second factor. Results are earned locally and reported in dollars, so devaluation can obscure genuine operating progress.

Neither undermines the compounding argument, but both mean reported figures need reading in constant-currency terms to see the business underneath.

Reported financials

Financial data through Q2 2026

Revenue

SEC XBRL

Financial data through Q2 2026 · SEC XBRL: Revenues. Q4 derived as the fiscal-year total less the other three quarters, since XBRL has no standalone Q4 duration.

Revenue growth (YoY)

SEC XBRL

Financial data through Q2 2026 · Year-over-year change, same quarter prior year, from SEC-reported figures.

Gross margin

SEC XBRL

Financial data through Q2 2026 · Computed from SEC-reported grossProfit ÷ revenue.

Operating margin

SEC XBRL

Financial data through Q2 2026 · Computed from SEC-reported operatingIncome ÷ revenue.

Relative valuation

Valuation updated August 2026

Forward P/E

Valuation data pending

Direct-peer average

Pending

Versus its own history

Historical forward-P/E series pending. Maintained by hand in data/fundamentals/manual.ts. No free, reliable source exists for consensus estimates, so nothing is inferred here.

Direct peers

used in the average

Similar enough that comparing multiples is meaningful.

SE

SE

Sea Limited

82% similar

fwd P/E pending

same business modelsame revenue modelsame end markets
Nu Holdings logo

NU

Nu Holdings

76% similar

fwd P/E pending

same business modelsame revenue modelsame end markets

Strategic competitors

never averaged

Competing for the same customers or budget, but too different financially for their multiple to say much about this holding.

AXP

AXP

American Express

43% similar

fwd P/E pending

same revenue modelsame customer typesimilar capital intensity

Excluded from peer average: competes for the same demand, but a different financial profile

PYPL

PYPL

PayPal

42% similar

fwd P/E pending

same revenue modelsame customer typesimilar capital intensity

Excluded from peer average: competes for the same demand, but a different financial profile

Mastercard logo

MA

Mastercard

34% similar

fwd P/E pending

same revenue modelsame customer typesimilar capital intensity

Excluded from peer average: competes for the same demand, but a different financial profile

V

V

Visa

34% similar

fwd P/E pending

same revenue modelsame customer typesimilar capital intensity

Excluded from peer average: competes for the same demand, but a different financial profile

Selected by weighted similarity across business model, revenue model, products, end markets, customer type, capital intensity, growth, margins and geography. Direct peers score ≥55% and sit within 2 diversification steps; only they feed the peer average.