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Toffel Capital

Thesis archive

Company theses written between and .

These pages are historical analysis. They record the reasoning at the time of writing, are not current recommendations, and are no longer updated. For what is held now, see the Portfolio; for what changed and why, the Decision log.
Archived company theses, by company, with recorded dates
CompanyPosition nowFirst publishedLast revised
Advanced Micro Devices AMDExited
Alphabet Class A GOOGLHeld
Amazon.com AMZNHeld
AST SpaceMobile ASTSExited
Cerebras Systems CBRSExited
Constellation Energy CEGHeld
CrowdStrike CRWDExited
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund FBTCExited
GE Vernova GEVExited
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF SGOVExited · exact date not recorded
Mastercard MAHeld
MercadoLibre MELIHeld
Meta Platforms METAHeld
Nebius Group NBISHeld
Oscar Health OSCRExited
Penguin Solutions PENGExited
Rocket Lab RKLBExited
ServiceNow NOWHeld
SpaceX SPCXHeld
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust GLDMHeld
UnitedHealth Group UNHHeld
VanEck Semiconductor ETF SMHHeld
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOOExited
Vistra VSTHeld
How these pages are dated

First published is the date of the first commit that added the thesis. Last revised is the date of the latest commit that changed its text. Both come from the site's version history; a revision can be a small edit and is not a full review.

“Last revised” is a change to the text, not a formal review of the thesis; no thesis has a recorded review date. Financial figures on thesis pages come from company filings with the SEC, and margins and growth rates are calculated from those figures; each chart says which.

All methodology